Wyoming Pronghorn Area 16 Type 1 Draw Odds
Pronghorn hunt area 016, type 1 (any antelope, as WGFD labels it). Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Hunt | Pronghorn, Area 16 Type 1: any antelope |
| 2026 resident quota / first-choice applicants | 158 / 113 |
| 2026 resident simple odds (random draw) | 100.0% |
| 2026 nonresident regular quota: preference pool / random pool | 18 / 5 |
| 2026 nonresident special quota: preference pool / random pool | 12 / 4 |
| 2026 nonresident regular: preference cut | 6 pts (58% drew at that level) |
| 2026 nonresident special: preference cut | 2 pts (17% drew at that level) |
Resident odds (2026 draw)
Wyoming residents draw pronghorn licenses by random draw; preference points do not apply to residents for this species, so every resident applicant has the same chance. Simple odds are quota divided by first-choice applicants (second and third choices only pick up what is left).
| Draw year | Resident quota | 1st-choice applicants | Simple odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 199 | 91 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 158 | 89 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 158 | 109 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 158 | 113 | 100.0% |
Resident outlook for 2027
Resident odds moved +0.0 percentage points a year on average from 2023 to 2026. If quota and demand follow that line, 2027 odds land near 100%.
Nonresident odds by preference point (2026 draw)
For nonresidents WGFD sets aside most licenses for a preference-point draw and the rest for a random draw that also takes everyone who missed in the point draw. The first odds column is WGFD's published first-choice success rate at each level; the second adds our simple random-draw estimate (random quota over first-choice random applicants). Rows marked < are party applications whose averaged points fall between two levels.
Regular license
| Your points | 1st-choice applicants | Preference draw odds (WGFD) | With random draw added (est.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 7 | 8 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| < 7 | 2 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 6 | 12 | 58.3% | 59.3% |
| < 6 | 204 | 0.0% | 2.4% |
Forecast for 2027: About 7 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 8 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +1.19 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.
Special license (higher fee, separate quota)
| Your points | 1st-choice applicants | Preference draw odds (WGFD) | With random draw added (est.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| < 4 | 2 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 3 | 2 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| < 3 | 4 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 | 6 | 16.7% | 38.9% |
| < 2 | 10 | 0.0% | 26.7% |
Forecast for 2027: About 3 preference points is where the draw is likely to cut off next year, so applicants at 4 or more are likely to draw on first choice. Point creep has averaged +0.71 points a year (2023 to 2026). Confidence: medium.
History
| Draw year | Nonresident regular cut | Nonresident special cut | Nonresident random odds (regular) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 pts (16% drew at that level) | < 1 pts (80% drew at that level) | 11.0% |
| 2024 | 3 pts (16% drew at that level) | 1 pts (88% drew at that level) | 4.3% |
| 2025 | 4 pts (9% drew at that level) | 1 pts (67% drew at that level) | 3.6% |
| 2026 | 6 pts (58% drew at that level) | 2 pts (17% drew at that level) | 2.4% |
Forecast method: how we forecast point creep. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
In 2026, 113 residents listed this hunt first for 158 resident licenses. The nonresident regular points-to-draw index went from 2.8 in 2023 to 6.4 in 2026.
Deadline
Applications open Jan 2 and close Jun 1 on WGFD's current dates table (results in mid-June). Confirm the 2027 dates on WGFD's page. WGFD application dates.
Deadline reminder: Wyoming limited quota draw
Deadline Jun 1, 2027. Per WGFD's current dates table (Jan 2 to Jun 1).
Add to calendar (.ics) Includes an alert 7 days before.
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Proven gear for this hunt
Optics that hold up on Wyoming pronghorn hunts. The Vortex picks are field-tested by our team; the Leupold step-up is selected from reviews and specs. All are highly rated by hunters who bought them.
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Plan the hunt: Wyoming apply checklist · Wyoming pronghorn pack list · Elk hunting binoculars.
Source: Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD), 2026 Demand Reports (WGFD draw results and odds). Tables, forecasts and text are TagCanyon's own. Not affiliated with WGFD. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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