380-00 Elk B License Draw Odds, Montana
Elk b license, district 380-00, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Drawing | Elk b license, district 380-00 |
| 2026 total quota | 325 |
| 2026 nonresident cap (FWP's nonresident quota column) | 32 |
| 2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident | 49 / 32 |
| 2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident | 2,042 / 86 |
| 2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident | 296 / 9 |
| 2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident | 14.5% / 10.5% |
| 2026 total successful (all choices and pools) | 325 |
Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 429 | 5 | 1.2% |
| 1 | 2 | 429 | 14 | 3.3% |
| 2 | 5 | 370 | 44 | 11.9% |
| 3 | 10 | 326 | 52 | 16.0% |
| 4 | 17 | 225 | 64 | 28.4% |
| 5 | 26 | 135 | 51 | 37.8% |
| 6 | 37 | 70 | 34 | 48.6% |
| 7 | 50 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% |
| 8 | 65 | 24 | 14 | 58.3% |
| 9 | 82 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| 10 | 101 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
Resident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+278 applicants a year), about 2,320 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 13%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 2.4 (+0.16 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.
Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 20 first-choice applicants, 20 drawn.
Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 7.7% |
| 2 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 3 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| 5 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 6 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 7 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
Nonresident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+11 applicants a year), about 97 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 9%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.6 (-0.00 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.
First-choice odds by year
First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).
| Draw year | Quota | Resident applicants | Resident odds | Nonresident applicants | Nonresident odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 50 | 1,208 | 3.6% | 53 | 1.9% |
| 2024 | 50 | 1,308 | 3.1% | 35 | 2.9% |
| 2025 | 50 | 1,356 | 2.9% | 45 | 4.4% |
| 2026 | 325 | 2,042 | 14.5% | 86 | 10.5% |
Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
- In 2026, 2,042 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 325, about 6.3 resident applicants per license.
- Residents: at 0 bonus points 1% drew; at 9 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 62% drew.
- Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 12% drew.
Deadline
Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.
Deadline reminder: Montana B license and antelope drawing
Deadline Jun 1, 2027. Expected: the June 1 deadline has held in recent years (11:45 p.m. Mountain).
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Plan the hunt: Montana apply checklist · Montana elk pack list · Elk hunting binoculars.
Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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