391-02 Deer B License Draw Odds, Montana
Deer b license, district 391-02 (mule), from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Drawing | Deer b license, district 391-02 (mule) |
| 2026 total quota | 175 |
| 2026 nonresident cap (FWP's nonresident quota column) | 17 |
| 2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident | 27 / 17 |
| 2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident | 233 / 11 |
| 2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident | 166 / 8 |
| 2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident | 71.2% / 72.7% |
| 2026 total successful (all choices and pools) | 175 |
Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 93 | 50 | 53.8% |
| 1 | 2 | 99 | 75 | 75.8% |
| 2 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 100.0% |
| 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 100.0% |
| 4 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
Resident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-15 applicants a year), about 218 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 76%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.0 (+0.12 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 87.5% |
Nonresident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-0 applicants a year), about 11 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 75%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 0.8 (+0.08 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.
First-choice odds by year
First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).
| Draw year | Quota | Resident applicants | Resident odds | Nonresident applicants | Nonresident odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 100 | 277 | 35.0% | 12 | 16.7% |
| 2024 | 100 | 248 | 38.3% | 10 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 175 | 236 | 68.2% | 13 | 92.3% |
| 2026 | 175 | 233 | 71.2% | 11 | 72.7% |
Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
- In 2026, 233 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 175, about 1.3 resident applicants per license.
- Residents: at 0 bonus points 54% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
Deadline
Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.
Deadline reminder: Montana B license and antelope drawing
Deadline Jun 1, 2027. Expected: the June 1 deadline has held in recent years (11:45 p.m. Mountain).
Add to calendar (.ics) Includes an alert 7 days before.
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Plan the hunt: Montana apply checklist · Elk hunting binoculars.
Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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