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261-01 Deer B License Draw Odds, Montana

Deer b license, district 261-01 (mule), from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS Mountain Prairie) via Wikimedia Commons, public domain. Credits
FactValue
DrawingDeer b license, district 261-01 (mule)
2026 total quota10
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's nonresident quota column)1
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident2 / 1
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident95 / 8
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident10 / 0
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident10.5% / 0.0%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)10

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
013500.0%
123126.5%
2517423.5%
3106116.7%
4174250.0%
5262150.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+7 applicants a year), about 102 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 10%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.1 (-0.04 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
01200.0%
12300.0%
25200.0%
310100.0%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+2 applicants a year), about 10 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 0%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.2 (-0.08 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw yearQuotaResident applicantsResident oddsNonresident applicantsNonresident odds
2023107412.2%20.0%
2024109010.0%119.1%
2025101088.3%1010.0%
2026109510.5%80.0%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

  • In 2026, 95 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 10, about 9.5 resident applicants per license.
  • Residents: at 0 bonus points 0% drew; at 3 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 17% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Deadline reminder: Montana B license and antelope drawing

Deadline Jun 1, 2027. Expected: the June 1 deadline has held in recent years (11:45 p.m. Mountain).

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Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.

Mule deer buck among rocks and brush in Glacier National Park, Montana

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Photo: National Park Service (GlacierNPS) via Wikimedia Commons, public domain. Credits