471-30 Antelope B License Draw Odds, Montana
Antelope b license, district 471-30, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.
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| Fact | Value |
|---|---|
| Drawing | Antelope b license, district 471-30 |
| 2026 total quota | 450 |
| 2026 nonresident cap (FWP's nonresident quota column) | 45 |
| 2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident | 68 / 45 |
| 2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident | 819 / 26 |
| 2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident | 435 / 9 |
| 2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident | 53.1% / 34.6% |
| 2026 total successful (all choices and pools) | 450 |
Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 174 | 53 | 30.5% |
| 1 | 2 | 423 | 194 | 45.9% |
| 2 | 5 | 150 | 118 | 78.7% |
| 3 | 10 | 56 | 54 | 96.4% |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 100.0% |
| 5 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| 6 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
Resident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-24 applicants a year), about 795 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 55%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.2 (+0.06 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 5 first-choice applicants, 5 drawn.
Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)
Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.
| Bonus points | Chances in drawing | 1st-choice applicants | Drawn | Odds at this level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% |
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
Nonresident outlook for 2027
If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (-1 applicants a year), about 25 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 36%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.0 (+0.03 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.
Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.
First-choice odds by year
First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).
| Draw year | Quota | Resident applicants | Resident odds | Nonresident applicants | Nonresident odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 300 | 892 | 32.0% | 29 | 34.5% |
| 2024 | 300 | 849 | 33.5% | 29 | 37.9% |
| 2025 | 450 | 733 | 57.7% | 26 | 69.2% |
| 2026 | 450 | 819 | 53.1% | 26 | 34.6% |
Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.
Notes from TagCanyon
- In 2026, 819 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 450, about 1.8 resident applicants per license.
- Residents: at 0 bonus points 30% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 100% drew.
- Nonresidents: at 0 bonus points 20% drew; at 1 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 33% drew.
Deadline
Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.
Deadline reminder: Montana B license and antelope drawing
Deadline Jun 1, 2027. Expected: the June 1 deadline has held in recent years (11:45 p.m. Mountain).
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Plan the hunt: Montana apply checklist · Montana antelope pack list · Elk hunting binoculars.
Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
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