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440-30 Antelope B License Draw Odds, Montana

Antelope b license, district 440-30, from FWP's 2023 to 2026 drawing statistics. Jump to resident odds or nonresident odds.

Photo: Bureau of Land Management (blm_mtdks) via Wikimedia Commons, public domain. Credits
FactValue
DrawingAntelope b license, district 440-30
2026 total quota100
2026 nonresident cap (FWP's nonresident quota column)10
2026 landowner preference cap: resident / nonresident15 / 10
2026 first-choice applicants: resident / nonresident319 / 6
2026 drawn on first choice: resident / nonresident90 / 1
2026 first-choice odds: resident / nonresident28.2% / 16.7%
2026 total successful (all choices and pools)100

Resident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice resident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
015123.9%
121262419.0%
25943436.2%
310291551.7%
41713969.2%
52622100.0%
63744100.0%

Resident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+32 applicants a year), about 351 residents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 26%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.7 (+0.12 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: medium.

Landowner preference (residents, 2026): 8 first-choice applicants, 8 drawn.

Nonresident odds by bonus point (2026 drawing)

Share of first-choice nonresident applicants at each bonus-point level who drew, from FWP's 2026 bonus point report. Each applicant gets one chance plus their points squared, so the draw favors high point holders without a hard cutoff. How Montana bonus points work.

Bonus pointsChances in drawing1st-choice applicantsDrawnOdds at this level
126116.7%

Nonresident outlook for 2027

If first-choice demand keeps its 2023 to 2026 trend (+1 applicants a year), about 7 nonresidents would apply in 2027; with the same number of first-choice licenses, overall first-choice odds would be about 15%. Average bonus points among first-choice applicants are trending to about 1.3 (+0.33 a year), a measure of point creep in a weighted draw. Confidence: low.

Landowner preference (nonresidents, 2026): 1 first-choice applicants, 1 drawn.

First-choice odds by year

First-choice draws over first-choice applicants in the regular drawing (landowner preference excluded).

Draw yearQuotaResident applicantsResident oddsNonresident applicantsNonresident odds
20237522231.1%40.0%
202410023740.1%20.0%
202510026334.6%540.0%
202610031928.2%616.7%

Outlook method: see the top of the Montana points explainer and our forecast method. It is a trend line, not a promise.

Notes from TagCanyon

  • In 2026, 319 residents listed this drawing first for a quota of 100, about 3.2 resident applicants per license.
  • Residents: at 0 bonus points 4% drew; at 4 points (the highest level with at least 5 applicants) 69% drew.

Deadline

Elk B, deer B, antelope and antelope B licenses: FWP's 2026 window ran Mar 1 to Jun 1, 2026 (11:45 p.m. Mountain). FWP has not posted 2027 dates yet; the June 1 deadline has held in recent years. FWP application and drawing dates.

Deadline reminder: Montana B license and antelope drawing

Deadline Jun 1, 2027. Expected: the June 1 deadline has held in recent years (11:45 p.m. Mountain).

Add to calendar (.ics) Includes an alert 7 days before.

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Source: Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP), 2026 Drawing Statistics reports (MyFWP drawing statistics, FWP application and drawing dates). Tables, outlooks and text are TagCanyon's own; FWP does not warrant or endorse them. Not affiliated with FWP. Retrieved Oct 17, 2026.